Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 47.478113 54.637910 62.064222 70.307445 79.167776 88.373719 98.630477
2025-04-20 38.499911 48.840040 60.143699 73.274012 87.970309 103.788714 121.980937
2025-04-27 32.767670 44.820827 58.524962 74.962246 93.866758 114.682080 139.096389
2025-05-04 27.314769 40.266254 55.560611 74.454671 96.714094 121.705587 151.503437
2025-05-11 22.857690 36.298001 52.761156 73.660873 98.817324 127.542530 162.272153
2025-05-18 19.836996 33.748302 51.359586 74.250013 102.303065 134.781922 174.491371
2025-05-25 16.872941 30.912166 49.308820 73.793608 104.333385 140.162445 184.431446
2025-06-01 14.643362 28.815903 47.998236 74.081731 107.123511 146.333333 195.214977
2025-06-08 12.311779 26.288500 45.897080 73.177142 108.296124 150.459919 203.499981
2025-06-15 10.982782 25.104317 45.501292 74.390886 112.042964 157.646257 215.398275
2025-06-22 9.847234 24.084647 45.236637 75.703264 115.863353 164.892996 227.358610
2025-06-29 8.283476 22.158401 43.531592 74.965756 116.975961 168.755655 235.196822
2025-07-06 6.584973 19.761905 40.987852 72.986135 116.435670 170.571982 240.594417
2025-07-13 6.198260 19.707581 41.946947 75.864190 122.257767 180.347051 255.753195
2025-07-20 5.609797 19.181348 42.127029 77.611165 126.569448 188.223679 268.593074
2025-07-27 4.645592 17.741863 40.768892 77.089420 127.810142 192.192902 276.601095
2025-08-03 3.761862 16.289000 39.272657 76.279569 128.599177 195.544272 283.814493
2025-08-10 3.215441 15.481036 38.772194 76.880951 131.267405 201.277893 293.985377
2025-08-17 2.589771 14.328118 37.597696 76.415015 132.432543 205.052989 301.694940
2025-08-24 2.144912 13.522242 36.958510 76.709164 134.614154 210.123976 311.024398
2025-08-31 1.632204 12.349004 35.567888 75.785617 135.055686 212.903925 317.449411
2025-09-07 1.401014 11.964567 35.586675 77.024776 138.515669 219.622907 328.862529
2025-09-14 1.205005 11.633972 35.678866 78.364444 142.113172 226.526780 340.523678